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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of
some use! December 2013 The first month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to see a very cold and snowy start to winter. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. The northern half of the country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the vast majority of the whole month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of north-east England. Parts of southern England, Wales, and the Midlands are also likely to experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout December, especially in parts of southern England and Wales. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout the early part of the December period too. December Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for most parts of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, and even more so throughout the Christmas period and into the early part of 2014. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -20C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too, but especially more so towards the start and end of the this forecasting period. December Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some heavy falls of snow across many parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for some lengthy periods of time in December. The risk of snowfall will remain with much of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 23rd to the 31st December (Especially in northern, eastern and southern parts). A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10) January 2014 The second month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to be exceptionally cold and very snowy. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country, and a scenario similar to December 2010 or worse is plausible. The vast majority of the whole country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the whole of the month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of southern England. Parts of northern England, eastern England, Wales, western England, the Midlands, and Northern Ireland are also likely to experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout January. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption on a prolific scale to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout much of the January period too. January Temperatures - Way below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures quite consistently during the evenings, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. There may even be the possibility of temperature records being broken in places, especially in parts of Scotland and Ireland, towards the start of this forecasting period. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -28C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing across the country during the daytime too. There is also a good probability for the development of ice floes, which will be visible from land in various parts of the country too. January Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some very heavy falls of snow across most parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for the vast majority of January. Snow drifts of several feet are also a distinct possibility for this part of the forecasting period. The risk of snowfall will remain with large parts of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 1st to the 15th January. A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10) February 2014 The final month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to continue with the cold and snowy theme. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. Many parts of the country are likely to experience a run of below average temperatures throughout the month and multiple major snow events, especially in parts of northern and southern England. It is likely that there will be disruption to the public transport network across these parts at times and school closures throughout the February period too. However, a number of brief periods of moderation can't be ruled for this part of the forecasting period (normal winter conditions), especially in the latter part of this forecasting period. February Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET), especially to the north of the country. Temperatures may also exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -18C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too, but not consistently due to a number of brief periods of moderation for this part of the forecasting period. February Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some significant falls of snow across parts of the country, in particular, in parts of northern and southern England. The risk of major snowfall is most likely throughout the period of the 15th to the 25th February in these parts. -- http://www.helpforheroes.org.uk/shop/ |
#2
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 07/11/13 17:05, Ophelia wrote:
This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! .... Nobody can accurately forecast 3 months ahead. It's hard enough to forecast 1 week ahead! The UK Met Office is sensible enough not to try. Hugh -- Hugh Newbury www.evershot-weather.org |
#3
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 07/11/2013 17:40, Hugh Newbury wrote:
Nobody can accurately forecast 3 months ahead. It's hard enough to forecast 1 week ahead! The UK Met Office is sensible enough not to try. Hugh Hear, hear Hugh... ridiculous! -- Wendy Tinley SE Sheffield 4 miles west of junction 30 M1 |
#4
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
Hugh Newbury wrote:
Nobody can accurately forecast 3 months ahead. It's hard enough to forecast 1 week ahead! A card-carrying meteorologist once told me that beyond 3 days, my guess was as good as his. We here in the U.S. have the "Old Farmer's Almanack," which forecasts by the Nostradamus method. -- Gary Woods AKA K2AHC- PGP key on request, or at home.earthlink.net/~garygarlic Zone 5/4 in upstate New York, 1420' elevation. NY WO G |
#5
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 07/11/2013 18:11, Wendy Tinley wrote:
On 07/11/2013 17:40, Hugh Newbury wrote: Nobody can accurately forecast 3 months ahead. It's hard enough to forecast 1 week ahead! The UK Met Office is sensible enough not to try. Hugh Hear, hear Hugh... ridiculous! At present they seem to be having problem forecasting for us here in the Swansea area 12 hours ahead. |
#6
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
"Hugh Newbury" wrote in message ... On 07/11/13 17:05, Ophelia wrote: This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! ... Nobody can accurately forecast 3 months ahead. It's hard enough to forecast 1 week ahead! The UK Met Office is sensible enough not to try. I am not arguing I guess we will see He pays for it you know! -- http://www.helpforheroes.org.uk/shop/ |
#8
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 07/11/2013 19:59, Roger Tonkin wrote:
In article , says... On 07/11/2013 18:11, Wendy Tinley wrote: On 07/11/2013 17:40, Hugh Newbury wrote: Nobody can accurately forecast 3 months ahead. It's hard enough to forecast 1 week ahead! The UK Met Office is sensible enough not to try. Hugh Hear, hear Hugh... ridiculous! At present they seem to be having problem forecasting for us here in the Swansea area 12 hours ahead. And you are in a populous area David. Try finding an accurate forecast for mid-Wales any where. Met office are strange, we have 3 forecast areas within 5 miles of us. then going East nothing for around 30 miles |
#9
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On Thu, 07 Nov 2013 17:05:11 +0000, Ophelia wrote:
This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! snip Also posted on the Daily Mail! http://boards.dailymail.co.uk/news-b...162-uk-europe- autumn-winter-2013-2014-weather-discussion-25.html So s/he could have got it for free. I had a quick Google for ice floes visible from the UK which turned this up. No other immediate hits, so perhaps this is a voice crying in the wilderness. I share the general scepticism about the accuracy of a forecast for next February. I hope there is a money back guarantee. Cheers Dave R |
#10
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
"David.WE.Roberts" wrote in message ... On Thu, 07 Nov 2013 17:05:11 +0000, Ophelia wrote: This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! snip Also posted on the Daily Mail! http://boards.dailymail.co.uk/news-b...162-uk-europe- autumn-winter-2013-2014-weather-discussion-25.html So s/he could have got it for free. Blimey, well I won't be the one to tell him -- http://www.helpforheroes.org.uk/shop/ |
#11
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 07/11/2013 17:05, Ophelia wrote:
This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! December 2013 The first month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to see a very cold and snowy start to winter. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. The northern half of the country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the vast majority of the whole month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of north-east England. Parts of southern England, Wales, and the Midlands are also likely to experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout December, especially in parts of southern England and Wales. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout the early part of the December period too. December Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for most parts of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, and even more so throughout the Christmas period and into the early part of 2014. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -20C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too, but especially more so towards the start and end of the this forecasting period. December Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some heavy falls of snow across many parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for some lengthy periods of time in December. The risk of snowfall will remain with much of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 23rd to the 31st December (Especially in northern, eastern and southern parts). A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10) January 2014 The second month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to be exceptionally cold and very snowy. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country, and a scenario similar to December 2010 or worse is plausible. The vast majority of the whole country is likely to experience a run of well-below average temperatures for the whole of the month and multiple major snow events, which will also include some potentially dangerous blizzard conditions at times, in particular, in parts of southern England. Parts of northern England, eastern England, Wales, western England, the Midlands, and Northern Ireland are also likely to experience a number of major snow events, that will consist of some crippling falls of snow for these parts throughout January. It is highly likely that there will be major disruption on a prolific scale to the public transport network across much of the country at times and school closures throughout much of the January period too. January Temperatures - Way below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET). Temperatures are also likely to exceed double negative figures quite consistently during the evenings, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. There may even be the possibility of temperature records being broken in places, especially in parts of Scotland and Ireland, towards the start of this forecasting period. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -28C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing across the country during the daytime too. There is also a good probability for the development of ice floes, which will be visible from land in various parts of the country too. January Major Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some very heavy falls of snow across most parts of the country, but especially more so in the southern half of the country. Coupled with the below-average temperatures, this is likely to lead to lying snow on the ground for the vast majority of January. Snow drifts of several feet are also a distinct possibility for this part of the forecasting period. The risk of snowfall will remain with large parts of the country throughout the whole month, but especially more so throughout the period of the 1st to the 15th January. A full and more detailed snow risk forecast will be issued to purchasers of this forecast later in the year (normally £10) February 2014 The final month of the meteorological 2013/14 winter is likely to continue with the cold and snowy theme. This period is also likely to experience a number of multiple and major widespread snow events across the country. Many parts of the country are likely to experience a run of below average temperatures throughout the month and multiple major snow events, especially in parts of northern and southern England. It is likely that there will be disruption to the public transport network across these parts at times and school closures throughout the February period too. However, a number of brief periods of moderation can't be ruled for this part of the forecasting period (normal winter conditions), especially in the latter part of this forecasting period. February Temperatures - Below the seasonal average for much of the country and in terms of the mean Central England Temperature (CET), especially to the north of the country. Temperatures may also exceed double negative figures during the evenings at times, especially in parts of Scotland and the north. It is quite plausible that temperatures may surpass -18C in parts of the UK during the evenings, with temperatures also struggling to get above freezing during the daytime at times too, but not consistently due to a number of brief periods of moderation for this part of the forecasting period. February Snowfall - The major snow events are likely to lead to some significant falls of snow across parts of the country, in particular, in parts of northern and southern England. The risk of major snowfall is most likely throughout the period of the 15th to the 25th February in these parts. http://www.diaryofanadi.co.uk/?p=10402 http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudso...-coldest-winte -- Stewart Robert Hinsley |
#12
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
"Stewart Robert Hinsley" wrote in message ... On 07/11/2013 17:05, Ophelia wrote: This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be http://www.diaryofanadi.co.uk/?p=10402 http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudso...-coldest-winte Thank you Stewart Robert Hinsley but it has already been discussed and found wanting ... -- http://www.helpforheroes.org.uk/shop/ |
#13
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On Thu, 07 Nov 2013 17:05:11 +0000, Ophelia wrote:
This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! snip apocalypse It's being so cheerful as keeps 'em going. |
#14
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
On 08/11/2013 09:59, Martin wrote:
On Thu, 07 Nov 2013 21:50:52 +0000, Stewart Robert Hinsley wrote: snip http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudso...-coldest-winte Paul Hudson, weather presenter and climate correspondent for BBC Look North in Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, confrontations with the local news reader are not to be missed. We live in this local area and yes... hilarious at times! -- Wendy Tinley SE Sheffield 4 miles west of junction 30 M1 |
#15
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Bad winter coming - Exacta weather
"Derek Turner" wrote in message ... On Thu, 07 Nov 2013 17:05:11 +0000, Ophelia wrote: This came from a friend who runs a Transport business. Hope it will be of some use! snip apocalypse It's being so cheerful as keeps 'em going. lol long time since I've heard that -- http://www.helpforheroes.org.uk/shop/ |
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