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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
Al Klein wrote in message . ..
[snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? |
#2
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Richard Alexander" wrote in message om... Al Klein wrote in message . .. [snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? Rather speculative I would think as "scientific" only relates to exhibiting the methods or principles of science. However, one definition of science follows: 3 a : knowledge or a system of knowledge covering general truths or the operation of general laws especially as obtained and tested through scientific method. With the above evidence in mind I believe if someone expounded on a topic relating to a conclusion that conclusion should be testable. Hmmm, Yes. James Curts |
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Richard Alexander" wrote in message
om... Uhg... Something scientific *must* be testable, by definition. Learn how to do twelve seconds of googling. Take your ADD meds. |
#6
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Richard Alexander" wrote I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? It depends on how literal you are. For example, we can determine the dimension of the sun using certain scientific methods. We can test these methods under controlled conditions here on earth, but we can't fly out into space with a measuring tape and "test" their accuracy against more...errr... "conventional" means. |
#7
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Richard Alexander" wrote in message om... Al Klein wrote in message . .. [snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? The Big Bang can't be re-created/duplicated but there are indirect ways to test it. Many things don't fit anything except statistics/probability. There you have to go by the weight of the evidence. The notion of 'testable' is not a binary yes or no answer. It may be testable with a certain percent confidence level or have a certain correlation coefficient. On the other hand, you could plot bubble gum sales as a function of meteors seen in the southern hemisphere and might find a pretty good correlation...... This gets into sample size etc fast. Testable to how many places past the decimal point? In something called Late-Post-Modern-Non-Classical-Foundationalism (LPMNCF) a hypothesis or theory is innocent until proven guilty/is true if there appears to be no evidence and until such time as it is found not to be true. Just about everything you know is based on this idea. Instead of a scientific 'causal explanation' like F = MA with a 'Covering Law' LPMNCF explanations are based on 'reasons explanations.' Science is the only enterprise on the planet that is NOT required to provide reasons explanations. All other knowledge is based on this. Smith is not found guilty of murdering Jones by an equation. There may be circumstantial evidence based on scientific knowledge like ballistics and fingerprints that add up to weight of evidence one way or another but the jury is going to want more than that in many cases - they want to know Smith's motivation/reasons for killing Jones. When you tell someone that is a chair, - if it half way looks like it might be, chances are your idea will be accepted and the matter ended. You do not need to say the photons bouncing off the chair formed an image on the retina of my eye blah blah blah. LPMNCF is a response to the failure of Logical Positivism as a be all end all. Most things do not have scientific causal explanations. Things that make an event historical for instance do so because they are one-time events. They can not be empirically studied. You can not dress up a bunch of short guys with 3-cornered hats that like to stick their hands in their vest and conduct 'Battles of Waterloo.' Or the 2002 State of the Union address - one time events. Does that make one-time events not possible to be studied empirically? If you smoke a cigarette the smoke and ashes can not be put back into tobacco and paper again. So while smoking similar cigarettes is testable, repeated testing of a single cigarette is not. LPMNCF is based on a pyramid structure. If a few blocks are defective the whole pyramid does not fall down. But Classical Foundationalism (CF) is based on Descartes ground up approach of a skyscraper. A skyscrapper has a very strong foundation where a hundred floors may go straight up. If anything is wrong on a lower floor the whole thing could come down - much like if there was a theorem wrong in geometry - chances are your whole basis of math is flawed/defective. Test those ideas,,,, Mike Dubbeld |
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
When Einstein raised relativity, it was not all immediately testable, that
came later. |
#9
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
In article ,
Richard Alexander wrote: Al Klein wrote in message ... [snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? It needn't be immediately testable with current technology and the resources humans are willing to put into it. Those are just practical considerations. But, among other qualities, a theory must say something definite about nature, must make concrete predictions of observables that will be either right or wrong. Theory aids the understanding, but science is fundamentally empirical. -- "When fighting with sharpened Bronze, or harder Metals from the Heavens, it is Wise to kick thy Opponent, be he a Chaldean or a man of Uruk, in his Man Sack, that thou mayst defeat him more handily than by Arms. So sayeth INNAMURUTUSHIMMILODEK, who hath slain threescore Ammelekites." |
#10
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
On Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:58:38 GMT, "James Curts"
wrote: "Richard Alexander" wrote in message . com... Al Klein wrote in message ... [snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? Rather speculative I would think as "scientific" only relates to exhibiting the methods or principles of science. However, one definition of science follows: 3 a : knowledge or a system of knowledge covering general truths or the operation of general laws especially as obtained and tested through scientific method. With the above evidence in mind I believe if someone expounded on a topic relating to a conclusion that conclusion should be testable. Hmmm, Yes. Indeed, looking at things along those lines, James, 'testable' would seem to put the bar too low. I'd raise it to 'tested' :-). To be sure, this would imply that a hypothesis is not in that sense of the word scientific, a scientific statement. |
#11
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
Richard Alexander wrote:
Al Klein wrote in message . .. [snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? 1) Is M-theory testable? No. 2) Do high temp ceramic supercons have associated theory? No. Is M-theory science? No, its current status is that of mathematics. Science requires empirical constraint. Are high temp supercons science? Sure! Science does not demand theoretical modeling. Classical biology is the archetype of collected facts with no unifying basis. DNA analysis eventually appeared. Biology did not change its status as a science - but it did become predictive given a model. MBA domination of funding carefully erected the hallucination that research has a PERT chart and guaranteed results. 98% of that result is journals bursting with Least Publishable Units and a flood of second-rate MS and PhDs whose disciplines cannot absorb them. Discovery cannot be managed, nor is it subject to statistical quality control. The big discoveries are invariably made by undeserving personal in wretched circumstances, by "accident." This then justifies the MBA system. See? It works! Bullshit. It is a disaster. Funding is funneled to safely scientifically unproductive senior faculty who have eaten their brains. They voluminously publish papers and disgorge second rate degreed personnel. The statistics roll and MBAs get performance bonuses. Young faculty starves because its ideas are "too risky" to fund. Anybody can do a parameterized discounted cashflow/return on investment sheaf of scenarios and prove beyond argument that young faculty should not be funded at all - certainly not until they establish themselves as being safely, acceptably productive. Bottom line: Basic resarch should be abolished and its funding redirected into higher-yielding investments. With no need for such research, there is no need for its personnel and its infrastructure to be maintained or created in the first place. Downsizing of science with concomittant substantially increased oversight to optimize what remains should be a national priority. Uncle Al says, "The goal of Accounting is to value a corporation for liquidiation; but corporations are not run to be liquidated." -- Uncle Al http://www.mazepath.com/uncleal/ (Toxic URL! Unsafe for children and most mammals) "Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?" The Net! |
#12
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
Torsten Brinch writes
Indeed, looking at things along those lines, James, 'testable' would seem to put the bar too low. I'd raise it to 'tested' :-). The usual word is 'falsifiable'. That is, you can devise an experiment to test it. Preferably lots of them. To be sure, this would imply that a hypothesis is not in that sense of the word scientific, a scientific statement. A hypothesis is an untested scientific statement. For some level of tested. -- Oz This post is worth absolutely nothing and is probably fallacious. Note: soon (maybe already) only posts via despammed.com will be accepted. |
#13
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
Joe Bugeja writes
When Einstein raised relativity, it was not all immediately testable, that came later. 1) It 'explained' quite a few puzzling experimental results. 2) There was no counter experiment that contradicted it. At which point it was really a good hypothesis. 3) Various tests were devised that it explained very much better than competing hypotheses. When it slowly became a theory. -- Oz This post is worth absolutely nothing and is probably fallacious. Note: soon (maybe already) only posts via despammed.com will be accepted. |
#14
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
Joe Bugeja wrote: When Einstein raised relativity, it was not all immediately testable, that came later. It was always testABLE, just not testED. There is a difference. If it were not at all testABLE, (like the theory that an invisible god may exist, since there is nothing specified to search for), then it could never have been testED. Please try to learn the difference, and please show how you know that an invisible god may in reality exist (if that is what you are driving at). Here is how the theory that "ETs (not in evidence) may exist" is being tested using the scientific method: Null : of, being, or relating to zero www.m-w.com (as in, "There are no ETs.") --- Testing the Null Hypothesis by John Marcus, MD http://www.setileague.org/editor/null.htm SETI is perhaps the most highly interdisciplinary of sciences, encompassing not only astronomy, biology, engineering and physics, but also psychology, metaphysics, probability, and belief. But it is, first and foremost, a science, one to which we hope to apply the scientific method. [...] The Scientific Method for the Argus search is this: There are no ET's. (null hypothesis). .... [W]e now design an experiment (Project Argus, for example) to try to prove that statement wrong, recognizing that it takes only one clear, unambiguous counter-example to reject the null hypothesis. ... --- |
#15
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
On 13 Jul 2003 20:43:01 -0700, Richard Alexander wrote:
Al Klein wrote in message . .. [snip] The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? Depends on what you mean by "testable". For a theory to be scientific, it must at least be falsifiable. Whether that's the same as "testable" or not is mostly a matter of semantics. -- - Mike Remove 'spambegone.net' and reverse to send e-mail. |
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