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#46
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Daniel Prince" wrote in message
... "Steve Harris" wrote: Unless of course it contains time machines, FTL drives, force-field "shields", antigravity, Wesley Crusher, or workable libertarian utopias. Then it's okay to laugh all you like. g. There is one type of force-field "shield" that is possible. It is a magnetic field that can shield a ship or station against certain types of radiation (charged particles only). -- Actually, there is already a force field in use that acts as an air valve (plasma valve). I see no reason why you couldn't create such shields of any arbitrary power (e.g., Star Trek's deflector shields), except, of course, that the power requirements would be beyond insane. http://www.bnl.gov/bnlweb/pubaf/pr/2003/bnlpr052803.htm -- New definition of irony: 'Today's liberal Democrats are like the supporters of the Third Reich of the '30's and '40's - they absolutely trusted the government to "make things right". ' -Comment made on the internet by an ardent GW Bush supporter. |
#47
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Lawson English" wrote in message ... "Daniel Prince" wrote in message ... "Steve Harris" wrote: Unless of course it contains time machines, FTL drives, force-field "shields", antigravity, Wesley Crusher, or workable libertarian utopias. Then it's okay to laugh all you like. g. There is one type of force-field "shield" that is possible. It is a magnetic field that can shield a ship or station against certain types of radiation (charged particles only). -- Actually, there is already a force field in use that acts as an air valve (plasma valve). I see no reason why you couldn't create such shields of any arbitrary power (e.g., Star Trek's deflector shields), except, of course, that the power requirements would be beyond insane. That used to be said concerning computing power. Now I can carry the portable equivalent of a UNIVAC to my seat on the airplane in my knapsack (with wireless networking and a nice color LCD monitor built in). http://www.fourmilab.ch/documents/univac/case1107.html |
#48
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Jeff Utz" wrote in message ... X-A-Notice: References line has been trimmed due to 512 byte limitationAbuse-Reports-To: abuse at airmail.net to report improper postings NNTP-Proxy-Relay: library2.airnews.net NNTP-Posting-Time: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:16:35 -0500 (CDT) NNTP-Posting-Host: ![$;F1k-Y'hiac\&8#rjC`%+^ (Encoded at Airnews!) X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1158 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 "Richard Alexander" wrote in message om... root wrote in message ... Richard Alexander wrote: Historical events are--surprise!--History, not Science, and History is distinct from Science. But it might take science to reveal history. The distinction isn't as clear as you suggest. There is a difference between science involvement and being a science. Many church auditoriums are designed through the science of acoustics, but that doesn't mean that religion is a science. Certain terms have taken on a life of their own. A "quantum leap" or "quantum advance" is used where we would normally say a "huge leap" or a "huge advance." Of course, a true quantum leap is an extremely small thing, the difference, say, in electron orbits. Likewise, saying that something is not scientific has become akin to saying that something is erroneous. I disagree. I would argue that creationism is not scientific, because the hypothesis that creation exists is not testable. That does not mean the creationism does not exist, only that science cannot answer the question whether or not creationism is true. What prevents us from using the logical, systematic, scientific method of investigation to investigate any proposition at all, even a proposition like, "It is true that a magic invisible creator of everything might really exist"? We have an ongoing scientific investigation of the theory that ETs (not in evidence) might really exist. Here is how that theory is being investigated, using the scientific method: Null : of, being, or relating to zero www.m-w.com (as in, "There are no ETs.") --- Testing the Null Hypothesis by John Marcus, MD http://www.setileague.org/editor/null.htm SETI is perhaps the most highly interdisciplinary of sciences, encompassing not only astronomy, biology, engineering and physics, but also psychology, metaphysics, probability, and belief. But it is, first and foremost, a science, one to which we hope to apply the scientific method. [...] The Scientific Method for the Argus search is this: There are no ET's. (null hypothesis). .... [W]e now design an experiment (Project Argus, for example) to try to prove that statement wrong, recognizing that it takes only one clear, unambiguous counter-example to reject the null hypothesis. ... --- |
#49
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Lawson English" wrote in message ... "Daniel Prince" wrote in message ... "Steve Harris" wrote: Unless of course it contains time machines, FTL drives, force-field "shields", antigravity, Wesley Crusher, or workable libertarian utopias. Then it's okay to laugh all you like. g. There is one type of force-field "shield" that is possible. It is a magnetic field that can shield a ship or station against certain types of radiation (charged particles only). -- Actually, there is already a force field in use that acts as an air valve (plasma valve). I see no reason why you couldn't create such shields of any arbitrary power (e.g., Star Trek's deflector shields), except, of course, that the power requirements would be beyond insane. http://www.bnl.gov/bnlweb/pubaf/pr/2003/bnlpr052803.htm COMMENT: This "shield" is made of matter (plasma = ionized gas), not force. As a small curtain of flow, it's no different in principle from the hail of slugs from a phalanx gun on a carrier. Doesn't count as a "force field". And even if it did, plasma magnetic confinement in 3-space, has proven (so far) impossible for decent times except in interiors of masses (if it was easy we'd have fusion power). For a nice exterior shield or plasma confinement field, we're back to the idea that was already brought up. The Bussard sort of thing. I personally doubt it's possible except with gravity (and for that you need mass of a star). Plasmas are clever and slippery. But I would love to be proven wrong, of course. |
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Bob White" wrote in message news:xEBRa.82631$N7.11056@sccrnsc03...
"Jeff Utz" wrote in message ... X-A-Notice: References line has been trimmed due to 512 byte limitationAbuse-Reports-To: abuse at airmail.net to report improper postings NNTP-Proxy-Relay: library2.airnews.net NNTP-Posting-Time: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:16:35 -0500 (CDT) NNTP-Posting-Host: ![$;F1k-Y'hiac\&8#rjC`%+^ (Encoded at Airnews!) X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1158 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 "Richard Alexander" wrote in message om... root wrote in message ... Richard Alexander wrote: Historical events are--surprise!--History, not Science, and History is distinct from Science. But it might take science to reveal history. The distinction isn't as clear as you suggest. There is a difference between science involvement and being a science. Many church auditoriums are designed through the science of acoustics, but that doesn't mean that religion is a science. Certain terms have taken on a life of their own. A "quantum leap" or "quantum advance" is used where we would normally say a "huge leap" or a "huge advance." Of course, a true quantum leap is an extremely small thing, the difference, say, in electron orbits. Likewise, saying that something is not scientific has become akin to saying that something is erroneous. I disagree. I would argue that creationism is not scientific, because the hypothesis that creation exists is not testable. That does not mean the creationism does not exist, only that science cannot answer the question whether or not creationism is true. What prevents us from using the logical, systematic, scientific method of investigation to investigate any proposition at all, Like the proposition "God does not exist"? Doh! Another Septical self-refutation. Septic remains the completely self-refuting, mendacious, and discredited old idiot fool liar of alt.atheism. Jeff |
#51
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
[Mike Dubbeld] (apparently quoting Skinner)
| You are the product of your environment. [Rolf Marvin Bøe Lindgren] | and where does he say that? [Bob White] | Ferster and Skinner demonstrated that bhavior is determined by the | contingencies of reinforcement from the environment acting upon the genetic | heritage of the organism. See _Schedules of Reinforcement_ by B. F. | Skinner, Carl D. Cheney, W. H. Morse, P. B. Dews, Charles B. Ferster where exactly here does Skinner state that we are products of our environment? [Rolf Marvin Bøe Lindgren] | why do you assume that Skinner studied philosophy, physiology and | neurology? why did he put so much emphasis on the biological makeup of | the organism? [Bob White] | On the contrary, for Ferster and Skinner, et al, the emphasis is on | the experimental variable, "contingencies of reinforcement from the | environment." The variable, "genetic heritage (biological makeup)" is | a variable that has been controled for in the experiments | demonstrating that behavior is determined by the contingencies of | reinforcement. where does Skinner state that "behavior is determined by the contingencies of reinforcement"? exactly where does he use the word _determined_? -- Rolf Lindgren http://www.roffe.com/ |
#52
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Mike Ruskai" writes:
On 13 Jul 2003 20:43:01 -0700, Richard Alexander wrote: Al Klein wrote in message . .. The definition of "scientific" doesn't include "testable". I think we should at least settle this question; Can an hypothesis, theory, principle, claim or statement be scientific if it is not testable? Depends on what you mean by "testable". For a theory to be scientific, it must at least be falsifiable. Whether that's the same as "testable" or not is mostly a matter of semantics. Popper's theory of science demanded that a statement had to be in principle experimentally falsifiable if it was to be considered scientific. Being unfalsifiable was therefore the mark of the unscientific. This is now regarded as an oversimplification. For example, Lakatos, a pupil of Popper, showed that there was a class of scientific statements which were not falsifiable by an experiment. Instead they were used to generate falsifiable hypotheses. Instead of being abandoned because they had been falsified, they were abandoned when they became unproductive generators of falsifiable hypotheses. Unfortunately Popper's oversimplification caught the imagination of science teachers and armchair philosophers, and its Procrustean view of science is still believed to be the last word by many, whereas it was only Popper's hypothesis of how science worked, which has since been falsified :-) -- Chris Malcolm +44 (0)131 650 3085 DoD #205 School of Informatics, Edinburgh University, 5 Forrest Hill, Edinburgh, EH1 2QL, UK. [http://www.dai.ed.ac.uk/homes/cam/ ] |
#53
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"greywolf42" writes:
No hypothesis can be considered part of the scientific method if it is not fundamentally disprovable. Only if you adhere to Popper's hypothesis about the scientfic method, which has been falsified. There are more classes of scientific statements, hypotheses, etc., than Popper considered. -- Chris Malcolm +44 (0)131 650 3085 DoD #205 School of Informatics, Edinburgh University, 5 Forrest Hill, Edinburgh, EH1 2QL, UK. [http://www.dai.ed.ac.uk/homes/cam/ ] |
#54
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
X-A-Notice: References line has been trimmed due to 512 byte limitationAbuse-Reports-To: abuse at airmail.net to report improper postings
NNTP-Proxy-Relay: library2.airnews.net NNTP-Posting-Time: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 19:38:45 -0500 (CDT) NNTP-Posting-Host: !a29D1k-XCFjkR\&7g97'lJ6R (Encoded at Airnews!) X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1158 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 "Bob White" wrote in message news:xEBRa.82631$N7.11056@sccrnsc03... (...) What prevents us from using the logical, systematic, scientific method of investigation to investigate any proposition at all, even a proposition like, "It is true that a magic invisible creator of everything might really exist"? How would you test this? (...) |
#55
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
X-A-Notice: References line has been trimmed due to 512 byte limitationAbuse-Reports-To: abuse at airmail.net to report improper postings
NNTP-Proxy-Relay: library2.airnews.net NNTP-Posting-Time: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 19:49:34 -0500 (CDT) NNTP-Posting-Host: !\V551k-X_!m_B&&8#rjC`%-Q (Encoded at Airnews!) X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1158 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 "Bob White" wrote in message news:_OARa.82779$Ph3.7611@sccrnsc04... "Lawson English" wrote in message ... "Daniel Prince" wrote in message ... "Steve Harris" wrote: Unless of course it contains time machines, FTL drives, force-field "shields", antigravity, Wesley Crusher, or workable libertarian utopias. Then it's okay to laugh all you like. g. There is one type of force-field "shield" that is possible. It is a magnetic field that can shield a ship or station against certain types of radiation (charged particles only). -- Actually, there is already a force field in use that acts as an air valve (plasma valve). I see no reason why you couldn't create such shields of any arbitrary power (e.g., Star Trek's deflector shields), except, of course, that the power requirements would be beyond insane. That used to be said concerning computing power. Now I can carry the portable equivalent of a UNIVAC to my seat on the airplane in my knapsack (with wireless networking and a nice color LCD monitor built in). http://www.fourmilab.ch/documents/univac/case1107.html Really? Calculators have color monitors and networking built in too? I knew laptops do, but you said the equivalent of the Univac, essentially a giant calculator + printer. Even a palmtop is much more powerful than a Univac. Jeff |
#56
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Jeff Young" wrote in message m... "Bob White" wrote in message news:xEBRa.82631$N7.11056@sccrnsc03... "Jeff Utz" wrote in message ... X-A-Notice: References line has been trimmed due to 512 byte limitationAbuse-Reports-To: abuse at airmail.net to report improper postings NNTP-Proxy-Relay: library2.airnews.net NNTP-Posting-Time: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:16:35 -0500 (CDT) NNTP-Posting-Host: ![$;F1k-Y'hiac\&8#rjC`%+^ (Encoded at Airnews!) X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1158 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 "Richard Alexander" wrote in message om... root wrote in message ... Richard Alexander wrote: Historical events are--surprise!--History, not Science, and History is distinct from Science. But it might take science to reveal history. The distinction isn't as clear as you suggest. There is a difference between science involvement and being a science. Many church auditoriums are designed through the science of acoustics, but that doesn't mean that religion is a science. Certain terms have taken on a life of their own. A "quantum leap" or "quantum advance" is used where we would normally say a "huge leap" or a "huge advance." Of course, a true quantum leap is an extremely small thing, the difference, say, in electron orbits. Likewise, saying that something is not scientific has become akin to saying that something is erroneous. I disagree. I would argue that creationism is not scientific, because the hypothesis that creation exists is not testable. That does not mean the creationism does not exist, only that science cannot answer the question whether or not creationism is true. What prevents us from using the logical, systematic, scientific method of investigation to investigate any proposition at all, Like the proposition "God does not exist"? That what does not exist? Define your term. So far none of you true-believers has ever presented anything for consideration, nor specified anything meaningful, verifiable to search for. The proposition in question is that an invisible something (still essentially undefined) may in reality exist, knucklehead. "There is no such thing" never stands in need of proof, since the burden of proof cannot be shifted. I'm sure you know this principle of valid argument (logic) by now. You can stop any time your fallacy of trying to shift the burden of proof to the non-believers. The non-believers have nothing (no thing) to prove, knucklehead. [unsnip] What prevents us from using the logical, systematic, scientific method of investigation to investigate any proposition at all, even a proposition like, "It is true that a magic invisible creator of everything might really exist"? We have an ongoing scientific investigation of the theory that ETs (not in evidence) might really exist. Here is how that theory is being investigated, using the scientific method: Null : of, being, or relating to zero www.m-w.com (as in, "There are no ETs.") --- Testing the Null Hypothesis by John Marcus, MD http://www.setileague.org/editor/null.htm SETI is perhaps the most highly interdisciplinary of sciences, encompassing not only astronomy, biology, engineering and physics, but also psychology, metaphysics, probability, and belief. But it is, first and foremost, a science, one to which we hope to apply the scientific method. [...] The Scientific Method for the Argus search is this: There are no ET's. (null hypothesis). .... [W]e now design an experiment (Project Argus, for example) to try to prove that statement wrong, recognizing that it takes only one clear, unambiguous counter-example to reject the null hypothesis. ... --- |
#57
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Jeff Utz" wrote in message ... X-A-Notice: References line has been trimmed due to 512 byte limitationAbuse-Reports-To: abuse at airmail.net to report improper postings NNTP-Proxy-Relay: library2.airnews.net NNTP-Posting-Time: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 19:49:34 -0500 (CDT) NNTP-Posting-Host: !\V551k-X_!m_B&&8#rjC`%-Q (Encoded at Airnews!) X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1158 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 "Bob White" wrote in message news:_OARa.82779$Ph3.7611@sccrnsc04... "Lawson English" wrote in message ... "Daniel Prince" wrote in message ... "Steve Harris" wrote: Unless of course it contains time machines, FTL drives, force-field "shields", antigravity, Wesley Crusher, or workable libertarian utopias. Then it's okay to laugh all you like. g. There is one type of force-field "shield" that is possible. It is a magnetic field that can shield a ship or station against certain types of radiation (charged particles only). -- Actually, there is already a force field in use that acts as an air valve (plasma valve). I see no reason why you couldn't create such shields of any arbitrary power (e.g., Star Trek's deflector shields), except, of course, that the power requirements would be beyond insane. That used to be said concerning computing power. Now I can carry the portable equivalent of a UNIVAC to my seat on the airplane in my knapsack (with wireless networking and a nice color LCD monitor built in). http://www.fourmilab.ch/documents/univac/case1107.html Really? Calculators have color monitors and networking built in too? I knew laptops do, but you said the equivalent of the Univac, essentially a giant calculator + printer. Even a palmtop is much more powerful than a Univac. My point precisely, knucklehead. |
#58
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
wrote in message ... In article , "Steve Harris" writes: wrote in message ... In article , "Joe Bugeja" writes: When Einstein raised relativity, it was not all immediately testable, that came later. The requirement is for "testable in principle", not "immediately testable". Of course, it helps if at least some parts of it are readily testable. But not necessarily all of it. It's an interesting question how "testable in principle" needs to be in practice. Is a theory "scientific" even if only testable by making a superconducting accelerator that loops around the entire equator of the planet? How much of string theory is science, in Popper's sense? I would say that the question here is primarily not about "scientific" but about "theory". You know, we've been over this topic before, how the usage of the term "theory" in science differs from this in layman language (which is why we get all these posts harping on "but this is not proven, this is just a theory":-)). So, it is usually understood (though rarely spelled out) in science that in order to call something "theory" it should have at least some empirical support. Thus I would say that it is premature to call string theory a "scientific theory". Why? It has lots of support, including emperical support. How does one saying "this is not proven; it's just a theory" differ from a scientific theory? Not all scientific theories are proven. Having evidence in support of a theory is not the same thing as proving a theory. Jeff Or how about cryonics? It's testable in theory, BUT not now. You have to wait 100 years to see if technology comes up to the point that quick-frozen "corpses" in liquid nitrogen really are repairable (or not). What do we say about the idea in the meantime? We call it "scientific speculation" or something of the sort. There's a lot of stuff that is on the borderlands of science. It's conjecture that isn't testable, but should be one day. It sounds reasonable to some scientists, but completely looney to others. Cryonics. Terraforming Mars. Sending "people" to Alpha Centauri. Construction of artificial intelligence. Nanotechnology, including the holy grail of duplication of humans (not just cloning, but full duplication up to the point of raising questions of identity). Production of group minds formed by connected clusters of humans and/or machine minds (borganisms). All this is not really religion, but it's not really science-as-we-know it either. It's borderland stuff. My best term for it is the old one: science fiction. That's fine, for some of it. Point is, you've a whole spectrum. Starting with stuff which is a pretty immediate extension of existing science and/or technology and ending with some really speculative things. Beware making fun of science fiction as "science fantasy." Good point Mati Meron | "When you argue with a fool, | chances are he is doing just the same" |
#59
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
"Eric Pepke" wrote in message om... A theory, however, is a kind of logical and rational tool. It takes a set of input statements and uses logic, reason, mathematics, etc. to get a set of output statements. As you've given the definition, there's nothing that says "science," since it is still true that GIGO. She floats, therefore is a witch. For example, Einstein's Special Theory of Relativity is a theory because it takes input statements (such as the idea that the laws of physics should be the same for all intertial observers) and produced output statements (time dilation, Lorentz contraction, etc.) No, the real reason it's a theory is that Einstein said it was a Theorie in German, and it got translated to "theory" in English. The idea that the laws of physics should be the same for all inertial observers is due to POINCARE, not EINSTEIN. So why don't we talk about Poincare's theory of relativity? Because Poincare was French? A trick question? Einstein put in some stuff about lightspeed invarience also (this doesn't follow from physical law invarience). In my view and definition of "theory," it's because it wasn't a theory. It was just an assertion, usable as a hypothesis or as an input statement to a theory. It's pretty simple. You'd have to come up with some other reason why Poincare's assertion is not called a theory. See above. However, I'm defining "theory" in a way that I think is consistent with the way most modern scientists use the term and is also consistent with the half-century-old distinction between theoretical and experimental physics. I've worked with a lot of theoretical physicists, and as far as I can tell, they take hypotheses that they get from experimentalists or else just make up themselves, put them through the rational process that I have called making a theory, and produce output statements that can be used as hypotheses. As do experimentalists. But experimentalists take data and separate it from noise, whereas theorists have to rely on somebody else to do that for them. The difference lies not not in what theorists do, but in what they don't do. It's sort of like the difference between surgeons and other kinds of doctors. You're welcome to argue that I'm wrong, that a theory is really just a glorified hypothesis or something, but it would be a lot more persuasive if there were some referent to your argument. Burdon is really on you. "Theory" as a term has not been used consistently over the years, even by physicists. I'm sorry about that. You can't fix it. SBH |
#60
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Do Theories Have to be Testable to be Scientific?
In article , "Jeff Utz" writes:
wrote in message ... In article , "Steve Harris" writes: wrote in message ... In article , "Joe Bugeja" writes: When Einstein raised relativity, it was not all immediately testable, that came later. The requirement is for "testable in principle", not "immediately testable". Of course, it helps if at least some parts of it are readily testable. But not necessarily all of it. It's an interesting question how "testable in principle" needs to be in practice. Is a theory "scientific" even if only testable by making a superconducting accelerator that loops around the entire equator of the planet? How much of string theory is science, in Popper's sense? I would say that the question here is primarily not about "scientific" but about "theory". You know, we've been over this topic before, how the usage of the term "theory" in science differs from this in layman language (which is why we get all these posts harping on "but this is not proven, this is just a theory":-)). So, it is usually understood (though rarely spelled out) in science that in order to call something "theory" it should have at least some empirical support. Thus I would say that it is premature to call string theory a "scientific theory". Why? It has lots of support, including emperical support. Not at the moment. It may be enticing and elegant, but there is no empirical support currently available, and it'll take quite a while before we reach the regions of physical parameter space where we can get such support. How does one saying "this is not proven; it's just a theory" differ from a scientific theory? Not all scientific theories are proven. Correction. No scientific theory is proven, nor can it be. Mati Meron | "When you argue with a fool, | chances are he is doing just the same" |
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