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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
Hello
I am doing a point-in-polygon GIS analysis and need to know what would be the acceptable sample size (ground area) represented by a 10 BAF prism (10 ft2 per acre) at each point. Regards LugNut |
#2
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
LugNut wrote:
I'm not quite sure what you're asking. Acceptable sample size (ie number of plots required to achieve a required Standard Error) is not directly related to the prism size. Ideally, you wouldn't choose a prism until you saw the size and number of stems in a stand. And as for ground area represented by a prism, I really don't understand the question. The plot radius of each tree is a function of the BAF and the tree's diameter. So, I guess I'm no help, I just felt like babbling Joe Hello I am doing a point-in-polygon GIS analysis and need to know what would be the acceptable sample size (ground area) represented by a 10 BAF prism (10 ft2 per acre) at each point. Regards LugNut |
#3
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
Where I was froming come is that I was always told to use 0.004 hectare
to represent the amount of ground area in a prism sweep as a rough and dirty number for a 2 BAF (metric) prism. I know that it will vary based on stem diameters but I was wondering what the same rough and dirty number was for a 10 BAF Imperial. Cheers LugNut "Joe Shmoe" wrote in message ... LugNut wrote: I'm not quite sure what you're asking. Acceptable sample size (ie number of plots required to achieve a required Standard Error) is not directly related to the prism size. Ideally, you wouldn't choose a prism until you saw the size and number of stems in a stand. And as for ground area represented by a prism, I really don't understand the question. The plot radius of each tree is a function of the BAF and the tree's diameter. So, I guess I'm no help, I just felt like babbling Joe Hello I am doing a point-in-polygon GIS analysis and need to know what would be the acceptable sample size (ground area) represented by a 10 BAF prism (10 ft2 per acre) at each point. Regards LugNut |
#4
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
Hey Joe Shmoe and LugNut- how about giving us your real names? -- Joe Zorzin http://www.forestmeister.com "LugNut" wrote in message ... Where I was froming come is that I was always told to use 0.004 hectare to represent the amount of ground area in a prism sweep as a rough and dirty number for a 2 BAF (metric) prism. I know that it will vary based on stem diameters but I was wondering what the same rough and dirty number was for a 10 BAF Imperial. Cheers LugNut "Joe Shmoe" wrote in message ... LugNut wrote: I'm not quite sure what you're asking. Acceptable sample size (ie number of plots required to achieve a required Standard Error) is not directly related to the prism size. Ideally, you wouldn't choose a prism until you saw the size and number of stems in a stand. And as for ground area represented by a prism, I really don't understand the question. The plot radius of each tree is a function of the BAF and the tree's diameter. So, I guess I'm no help, I just felt like babbling Joe Hello I am doing a point-in-polygon GIS analysis and need to know what would be the acceptable sample size (ground area) represented by a 10 BAF prism (10 ft2 per acre) at each point. Regards LugNut |
#5
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
Lugnut,
I see the same problems in your attempt at analysis that Joe Shmoe sees. There is no "representative ground area" when you're doing prism plots. Like Joe says, it depends on the level of error you want to achieve, what type of sample your after, etc. You need to decide what "n" you need to represent "N" based on a number of specifics. If you're looking for a representative plot, why not do fixed plots? If you use a 1/10 acre plot, it will be 1 chain x 1 chain square, which is very simple to set up, and the statistics are much more easier to calculate. Typically, the only reason you would use a prism is to estimate square foot basal area, while sampling trees for volume. It can give you an estimate of trees/acre, but it will always steer you wrong because larger trees are certain to overrepresent themselves vs. saplings. Stick with the square, you'd be much better off! -Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com LugNut wrote: Where I was froming come is that I was always told to use 0.004 hectare to represent the amount of ground area in a prism sweep as a rough and dirty number for a 2 BAF (metric) prism. I know that it will vary based on stem diameters but I was wondering what the same rough and dirty number was for a 10 BAF Imperial. Cheers LugNut "Joe Shmoe" wrote in message ... LugNut wrote: I'm not quite sure what you're asking. Acceptable sample size (ie number of plots required to achieve a required Standard Error) is not directly related to the prism size. Ideally, you wouldn't choose a prism until you saw the size and number of stems in a stand. And as for ground area represented by a prism, I really don't understand the question. The plot radius of each tree is a function of the BAF and the tree's diameter. So, I guess I'm no help, I just felt like babbling Joe Hello I am doing a point-in-polygon GIS analysis and need to know what would be the acceptable sample size (ground area) represented by a 10 BAF prism (10 ft2 per acre) at each point. Regards LugNut |
#6
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
"Geoff Kegerreis" wrote in message ... snip Typically, the only reason you would use a prism is to estimate square foot basal area, while sampling trees for volume. It can give you an estimate of trees/acre, but it will always steer you wrong because larger trees are certain to overrepresent themselves vs. saplings. Stick with the square, you'd be much better off! -Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com Geoff, Either you are oversimplifying for Lugnut, or you slept through your forest mensuration class. Prism cruises are commonly used for volume cruises, and if done properly, are every bit as accurate and much faster than fixed area plots (the exception being areas w/heavy underbrush). Depending on the distance between plots, a person can take 3-10 variable plots in the time it takes to set up and measure one 1/10 ac. fixed plot - especially if they are square rather than circular fixed plots. The key is to chose a BAF that "hits" an average of 3-5 trees/plot in the area to be sampled. BTW the "multiplier factor" for each tree diameter for each BAF is readily calculated and is also published in most mensuration texts. For instance the plot radius for a 10"DBH tree with a 10 BAF is 27.5', while the radius for a 20"DBH tree is exactly double (55.0'). Thus each "in" 10" tree with a 10 BAF represents 18.335 trees/ac., while each "in" 20" tree represents 4.584 trees/ac. [43560/(3.14159*plot radius^2 )]. -- Bob Weinberger Forest Management Consulting Land and Natural Resource Management Analysis 401 Cedar St. La Grande, OR 97850 Remove "invalid" and place a dot between bobs and stuff to reply email |
#7
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
Bob,
If you look carefully again at my last message, you will see that I mentioned volume in the text. Also, I have a tendency to think that 3-5 trees per point is low. This is supported by expert biometrists US wide, including both Dillworth and Bell from out in your neck of the woods. Avery (1967) suggests 5-12 trees per point. I suggest that At least 7 trees should be tallied on average per point for a reasonable measure. BAF=10 is pretty common here East of the major divide. In North Carolina I used to use 20 on the big hardwood stands down there, and I don't see that being a problem in a Eastern pine plantation, or a sawlog-sized dense aspen stand, but 40BAF is probably what guys like you use in Oregon big conifer stands. In fact, I'd bet a dollar you have a relaskop instead of a prism, or both. When I worked in Montana, the forest circus required a relaskop for certain contracted jobs, and I'll bet it's the same in Oregon too. Not sure if you contract for the circus, but even if you didn't, a relaskop would be too practical for use out there not to have one. It's not practical here in Michigan, and I've only seen one state forester use one. If he had to pay the $1300 for it out of his own pocket, I doubt he'd have it. While responding to E-mails, I think it is important to: -Listen to what the person is asking for as advice -he's trying to obtain a sample which is representative of ground area, and did not mention the specifics! Chances are, if he's doing point in polygon cruising for gathering GIS data, he will need more data than just standing volume and relative density. Not all timber is even-aged second or third growth conifers that are all the same size (thank God). If it was, we could come up with a representative area based on a low variation average diameter using the figures you mentioned. -Definitely oversimplify, because the guy is obviously not from this country, and it's just as obvious that he may not understand the concept of point cruising with a prism. There is no such thing as a representative ground area for a prism (with the exception mentioned above), and suggesting that there is any general one number for such explemplifies ignorance of the concept. -Instead of criticising someone for sleeping through forest measurements, maybe you should re-examine your method of obtaining a solution to a problem. Additionally, I would like to see your dumb ass go out and try to get a reasonably accurate estimate of trees per acre figure with a 10BAF (or any) prism in a stand of 2-year old aspen. While it may look good on paper, it's not going to give you enough information on trees/acre data. If you were to try this once, you would definitely come to the conclusion that no matter how fast a point cruise is, or what kind of mathematics you use, it will not give you an acceptable trees/acre figure, unless you are only considering merchantable timber, and then the figure will likely still be unacceptable, due to the fact that larger trees are overrepresented and smaller trees (specifically unmerchantable trees) are underrepresented in a point cruise regarding trees/acre figures. Great for merchantable volume, or as the best guess of what kind of relative density stock is presently at, but not worth a shit for compiling stock & stand tables (which of course, includes unmerchantable trees among the forest) or gathering similarly necessary sound forest management data. Bitterlich made a good discovery, perhaps the most significant discovery in Biometrics, but it is not the magical cure for everything surrounding forest inventories. Hopefully this is simplified enough for you. Later, Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com P.S. Not that I'm proud to still be a member of SAF (my membership will expire this year), but you might want to check my working groups in the members only section. Bob Weinberger wrote: "Geoff Kegerreis" wrote in message ... snip Typically, the only reason you would use a prism is to estimate square foot basal area, while sampling trees for volume. It can give you an estimate of trees/acre, but it will always steer you wrong because larger trees are certain to overrepresent themselves vs. saplings. Stick with the square, you'd be much better off! -Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com Geoff, Either you are oversimplifying for Lugnut, or you slept through your forest mensuration class. Prism cruises are commonly used for volume cruises, and if done properly, are every bit as accurate and much faster than fixed area plots (the exception being areas w/heavy underbrush). Depending on the distance between plots, a person can take 3-10 variable plots in the time it takes to set up and measure one 1/10 ac. fixed plot - especially if they are square rather than circular fixed plots. The key is to chose a BAF that "hits" an average of 3-5 trees/plot in the area to be sampled. BTW the "multiplier factor" for each tree diameter for each BAF is readily calculated and is also published in most mensuration texts. For instance the plot radius for a 10"DBH tree with a 10 BAF is 27.5', while the radius for a 20"DBH tree is exactly double (55.0'). Thus each "in" 10" tree with a 10 BAF represents 18.335 trees/ac., while each "in" 20" tree represents 4.584 trees/ac. [43560/(3.14159*plot radius^2 )]. -- Bob Weinberger Forest Management Consulting Land and Natural Resource Management Analysis 401 Cedar St. La Grande, OR 97850 Remove "invalid" and place a dot between bobs and stuff to reply email |
#8
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
"Geoff Kegerreis" wrote in message ... Bob, If you look carefully again at my last message, you will see that I mentioned volume in the text. Also, I have a tendency to think that 3-5 trees per point is low. This is supported by expert biometrists US wide, including both Dillworth and Bell from out in your neck of the woods. Avery (1967) suggests 5-12 trees per point. I suggest that At least 7 trees should be tallied on average per point for a reasonable measure. John Bell is a personal friend, and we have had numerous discussions on the proper number of trees /plot. Though he cites higher figures in his texts , he concedes that he had a specific set of conditions in mind when giving those numbers, and that you are more likely to get good representative results with more plots of fewer trees /plot than the reverse. BAF=10 is pretty common here East of the major divide. In North Carolina I used to use 20 on the big hardwood stands down there, and I don't see that being a problem in a Eastern pine plantation, or a sawlog-sized dense aspen stand, but 40BAF is probably what guys like you use in Oregon big conifer stands. In fact, I'd bet a dollar you have a relaskop instead of a prism, or both. When I worked in Montana, the forest circus required a relaskop for certain contracted jobs, and I'll bet it's the same in Oregon too. Not sure if you contract for the circus, but even if you didn't, a relaskop would be too practical for use out there not to have one. It's not practical here in Michigan, and I've only seen one state forester use one. If he had to pay the $1300 for it out of his own pocket, I doubt he'd have it. These days I leave the actual field cruising to younger legs, but yes I used both a relaskop and prisms. I'm in Northeast Oregon, with conditions more like Idaho or Montana - rarely is 40 BAF used here, 10- 30 BAF is most common. While responding to E-mails, I think it is important to: -Listen to what the person is asking for as advice -he's trying to obtain a sample which is representative of ground area, and did not mention the specifics! Chances are, if he's doing point in polygon cruising for gathering GIS data, he will need more data than just standing volume and relative density. Not all timber is even-aged second or third growth conifers that are all the same size (thank God). If it was, we could come up with a representative area based on a low variation average diameter using the figures you mentioned. -Definitely oversimplify, because the guy is obviously not from this country, and it's just as obvious that he may not understand the concept of point cruising with a prism. There is no such thing as a representative ground area for a prism (with the exception mentioned above), and suggesting that there is any general one number for such explemplifies ignorance of the concept. -Instead of criticising someone for sleeping through forest measurements, maybe you should re-examine your method of obtaining a solution to a problem. Good points,though I suspect that we may both be guilty of assuming too much about the knowledge and meaning of the person whose posts we responded to. Please also note that I was responding to only one paragraph of your post, in which you made some statements about prism cruises that were, at best, over simplifications, and in which you also stated unequivicably, without knowing what his cruise conditions and needs were, that he would be better off sticking to square fixed area plots. Additionally, I would like to see your dumb ass go out and try to get a reasonably accurate estimate of trees per acre figure with a 10BAF (or any) prism in a stand of 2-year old aspen. While it may look good on paper, it's not going to give you enough information on trees/acre data. If you were to try this once, you would definitely come to the conclusion that no matter how fast a point cruise is, or what kind of mathematics you use, it will not give you an acceptable trees/acre figure, unless you are only considering merchantable timber, and then the figure will likely still be unacceptable, due to the fact that larger trees are overrepresented and smaller trees (specifically unmerchantable trees) are underrepresented in a point cruise regarding trees/acre figures. I obviously wouldn't use prism plots for 2 yr old Aspen - I would class those conditions as being part of the exception I stated for heavy underbrush. However, a 1/10 acre sized plot would be almost as bad and inefficient for that purpose as well. Often the best solution for gathering a good sample, where there is a broad range of diameters in the population to be sampled, is to use nested plots, e.g. a small (e.g. milacre) fixed plot for trees below a certain size, within a prism plot for trees above that size. Not all forest information is best gathered by the same method, for some data types neither fixed area plot nor a prism plots are suitable, and a transect or some other method, such as distance from plot center to nearest occurance are best. Great for merchantable volume, or as the best guess of what kind of relative density stock is presently at, but not worth a shit for compiling stock & stand tables (which of course, includes unmerchantable trees among the forest) or gathering similarly necessary sound forest management data. I totally disagree with your assessment that variable plot cruises are not good for creating stand and stock tables. As I stated previously, when the known "multiplier" effect for the diameter of each tree that is "in" a prism cruise is applied, there is no difficulty coming up with accurate numbers of trees/ac. for all trees that are big enough to have a DBH. Trees that are not big enough to have a DBH can easily be counted on a small nested fixed plot. Bitterlich made a good discovery, perhaps the most significant discovery in Biometrics, but it is not the magical cure for everything surrounding forest inventories. Agreed. Hopefully this is simplified enough for you. Later, Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com P.S. Not that I'm proud to still be a member of SAF (my membership will expire this year), but you might want to check my working groups in the members only section. Bob Weinberger wrote: "Geoff Kegerreis" wrote in message .. . snip Typically, the only reason you would use a prism is to estimate square foot basal area, while sampling trees for volume. It can give you an estimate of trees/acre, but it will always steer you wrong because larger trees are certain to overrepresent themselves vs. saplings. Stick with the square, you'd be much better off! -Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com Geoff, Either you are oversimplifying for Lugnut, or you slept through your forest mensuration class. Prism cruises are commonly used for volume cruises, and if done properly, are every bit as accurate and much faster than fixed area plots (the exception being areas w/heavy underbrush). Depending on the distance between plots, a person can take 3-10 variable plots in the time it takes to set up and measure one 1/10 ac. fixed plot - especially if they are square rather than circular fixed plots. The key is to chose a BAF that "hits" an average of 3-5 trees/plot in the area to be sampled. BTW the "multiplier factor" for each tree diameter for each BAF is readily calculated and is also published in most mensuration texts. For instance the plot radius for a 10"DBH tree with a 10 BAF is 27.5', while the radius for a 20"DBH tree is exactly double (55.0'). Thus each "in" 10" tree with a 10 BAF represents 18.335 trees/ac., while each "in" 20" tree represents 4.584 trees/ac. [43560/(3.14159*plot radius^2 )]. -- Bob Weinberger Forest Management Consulting Land and Natural Resource Management Analysis 401 Cedar St. La Grande, OR 97850 Remove "invalid" and place a dot between bobs and stuff to reply email |
#9
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
"Bob Weinberger" wrote in message
... "Geoff Kegerreis" wrote in message ... Bob, If you look carefully again at my last message, you will see that I mentioned volume in the text. Also, I have a tendency to think that 3-5 trees per point is low. This is supported by expert biometrists US wide, including both Dillworth and Bell from out in your neck of the woods. Avery (1967) suggests 5-12 trees per point. I suggest that At least 7 trees should be tallied on average per point for a reasonable measure. John Bell is a personal friend, and we have had numerous discussions on the proper number of trees /plot. Though he cites higher figures in his texts , he concedes that he had a specific set of conditions in mind when giving those numbers, and that you are more likely to get good representative results with more plots of fewer trees /plot than the reverse. Such debates are the like the Medieval debates about how many angels can dance on the head of a pin. What really counts is having a brain and experience so that you can tell what the situation really is and what needs to be done in each stand. Let's compare- forester "A" who gets more accuarate numbers than forester "B". But, "A" doesn't know what to do with the numbers, but "B" does. I'd rather have "B" working for me. If "B" can get numbers 80% as good as "A" in one third the time- then "B" is the superior employee, especially if he really knows how to interpret the stand based on LOOKING at it. In my ideal world, for modest sized properties of not more than a few hundred acres- I'd have all this cruising kept to a minimum. With good aerial photos and a quick reconnaisance of each stand- maybe a few plots in each- with some good thought about what is needed in the stand, less thought about the numbers- and good thought about access, markets, wetlands- etc..... all this could and should be done quickly. Producing fancy mgt. plans with fancy numbers is hardly worth the cost of the paper- and producing those fancy plans has to be paid by somebody- either the owner or the taxpayers. I'd rather have that expense go into carefull silviculture- each tree for harvesting should be marked by a forester. BAF=10 is pretty common here East of the major divide. In North Carolina I used to use 20 on the big hardwood stands down there, and I don't see that being a problem in a Eastern pine plantation, or a sawlog-sized dense aspen stand, but 40BAF is probably what guys like you use in Oregon big conifer stands. In fact, I'd bet a dollar you have a relaskop instead of a prism, or both. When I worked in Montana, the forest circus required a relaskop for certain contracted jobs, and I'll bet it's the same in Oregon too. Not sure if you contract for the circus, but even if you didn't, a relaskop would be too practical for use out there not to have one. It's not practical here in Michigan, and I've only seen one state forester use one. If he had to pay the $1300 for it out of his own pocket, I doubt he'd have it. These days I leave the actual field cruising to younger legs, but yes I used both a relaskop and prisms. I'm in Northeast Oregon, with conditions more like Idaho or Montana - rarely is 40 BAF used here, 10- 30 BAF is most common. While responding to E-mails, I think it is important to: -Listen to what the person is asking for as advice -he's trying to obtain a sample which is representative of ground area, and did not mention the specifics! Chances are, if he's doing point in polygon cruising for gathering GIS data, he will need more data than just standing volume and relative density. Not all timber is even-aged second or third growth conifers that are all the same size (thank God). If it was, we could come up with a representative area based on a low variation average diameter using the figures you mentioned. -Definitely oversimplify, because the guy is obviously not from this country, and it's just as obvious that he may not understand the concept of point cruising with a prism. There is no such thing as a representative ground area for a prism (with the exception mentioned above), and suggesting that there is any general one number for such explemplifies ignorance of the concept. -Instead of criticising someone for sleeping through forest measurements, maybe you should re-examine your method of obtaining a solution to a problem. Good points,though I suspect that we may both be guilty of assuming too much about the knowledge and meaning of the person whose posts we responded to. Please also note that I was responding to only one paragraph of your post, in which you made some statements about prism cruises that were, at best, over simplifications, and in which you also stated unequivicably, without knowing what his cruise conditions and needs were, that he would be better off sticking to square fixed area plots. Additionally, I would like to see your dumb ass go out and try to get a reasonably accurate estimate of trees per acre figure with a 10BAF (or any) prism in a stand of 2-year old aspen. While it may look good on paper, it's not going to give you enough information on trees/acre data. If you were to try this once, you would definitely come to the conclusion that no matter how fast a point cruise is, or what kind of mathematics you use, it will not give you an acceptable trees/acre figure, unless you are only considering merchantable timber, and then the figure will likely still be unacceptable, due to the fact that larger trees are overrepresented and smaller trees (specifically unmerchantable trees) are underrepresented in a point cruise regarding trees/acre figures. I obviously wouldn't use prism plots for 2 yr old Aspen - I would class those conditions as being part of the exception I stated for heavy underbrush. However, a 1/10 acre sized plot would be almost as bad and inefficient for that purpose as well. Often the best solution for gathering a good sample, where there is a broad range of diameters in the population to be sampled, is to use nested plots, e.g. a small (e.g. milacre) fixed plot for trees below a certain size, within a prism plot for trees above that size. Not all forest information is best gathered by the same method, for some data types neither fixed area plot nor a prism plots are suitable, and a transect or some other method, such as distance from plot center to nearest occurance are best. Great for merchantable volume, or as the best guess of what kind of relative density stock is presently at, but not worth a shit for compiling stock & stand tables (which of course, includes unmerchantable trees among the forest) or gathering similarly necessary sound forest management data. I totally disagree with your assessment that variable plot cruises are not good for creating stand and stock tables. As I stated previously, when the known "multiplier" effect for the diameter of each tree that is "in" a prism cruise is applied, there is no difficulty coming up with accurate numbers of trees/ac. for all trees that are big enough to have a DBH. Trees that are not big enough to have a DBH can easily be counted on a small nested fixed plot. Bitterlich made a good discovery, perhaps the most significant discovery in Biometrics, but it is not the magical cure for everything surrounding forest inventories. Agreed. Hopefully this is simplified enough for you. Later, Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com P.S. Not that I'm proud to still be a member of SAF (my membership will expire this year), but you might want to check my working groups in the members only section. Bob Weinberger wrote: "Geoff Kegerreis" wrote in message .. . snip Typically, the only reason you would use a prism is to estimate square foot basal area, while sampling trees for volume. It can give you an estimate of trees/acre, but it will always steer you wrong because larger trees are certain to overrepresent themselves vs. saplings. Stick with the square, you'd be much better off! -Geoff Kegerreis www.timberlineforestry.com Geoff, Either you are oversimplifying for Lugnut, or you slept through your forest mensuration class. Prism cruises are commonly used for volume cruises, and if done properly, are every bit as accurate and much faster than fixed area plots (the exception being areas w/heavy underbrush). Depending on the distance between plots, a person can take 3-10 variable plots in the time it takes to set up and measure one 1/10 ac. fixed plot - especially if they are square rather than circular fixed plots. The key is to chose a BAF that "hits" an average of 3-5 trees/plot in the area to be sampled. BTW the "multiplier factor" for each tree diameter for each BAF is readily calculated and is also published in most mensuration texts. For instance the plot radius for a 10"DBH tree with a 10 BAF is 27.5', while the radius for a 20"DBH tree is exactly double (55.0'). Thus each "in" 10" tree with a 10 BAF represents 18.335 trees/ac., while each "in" 20" tree represents 4.584 trees/ac. [43560/(3.14159*plot radius^2 )]. -- Bob Weinberger Forest Management Consulting Land and Natural Resource Management Analysis 401 Cedar St. La Grande, OR 97850 Remove "invalid" and place a dot between bobs and stuff to reply email |
#10
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
This is good content - not theoretical at all. In the PNW, this is how
we cruise. Yes, a forester had better know what his findings mean in the "real world" of non-mensurationists, on the other hand, he had better be able to explain his procedures professionally too. If photo cruises can do that for you back east, fine. That's not done often here, except for cursory overviews. Partly that's because of the way we sell timber - we have a lot of cash sales rather than stumpage sales and values had better be nailed down to a few percent. Back to the original question: having to derive a sample area when using a relaskop is not kosher, but its done all the time to estimate the number of plots needed before a cruise. Then sampling intensity is adjusted in the field, depending on the findings. An BAF of 40 in large timber is approximately equivalent to a 0.2 acre fixed plot for estimating purposes only. As to whether one would actually DO a fixed area plot, the advantages of using variable plots are so great in this region (see that caveat?) that fixed plots are used only for regeneration or research. |
#11
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
"mhagen" wrote in message ... This is good content - not theoretical at all. In the PNW, this is how we cruise. Yes, a forester had better know what his findings mean in the "real world" of non-mensurationists, on the other hand, he had better be able to explain his procedures professionally too. If photo cruises can do that for you back east, fine. That's not done often here, except for cursory overviews. Partly that's because of the way we sell timber - we have a lot of cash sales rather than stumpage sales and values had better be nailed down to a few percent. Oh, you're talking about a cruise for a timber sale? I thought the discussion was cruising for mgt. plans. Certainly for a timber sale- you need very good information. Here, only timber beasts cruise for a timber sale, before they rip off the owner. Any reputable forester will mark and tally each and every tree- a 100% tally. However, not even doing a 100% tally, here, will give anyone accuracy to a few percent- since the trees are difficult to accurately measure. Most hardwoods have irregular shapes, forking- defects of all kinds, etc. so it becomes as much art as science. What really counts is consistancy. The wood buyers keep a good record of the results they get from each forester- so if I'm consistantly over by 15% on some species and 5% on another- they know it- and they bid accordingly- which makes everyone happy. Consistancy is the key. I suppose since you work with mostly conifers which are more likely to be straight and round and not forked- if you're carefull you should get much better accuracy- but with any sort of a cruise that's not 100% I doubt anyone can get within a few percent. Back to the original question: having to derive a sample area when using a relaskop is not kosher, but its done all the time to estimate the number of plots needed before a cruise. Then sampling intensity is adjusted in the field, depending on the findings. An BAF of 40 in large timber is approximately equivalent to a 0.2 acre fixed plot for estimating purposes only. As to whether one would actually DO a fixed area plot, the advantages of using variable plots are so great in this region (see that caveat?) that fixed plots are used only for regeneration or research. -- Joe Zorzin http://www.forestmeister.com |
#12
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Sample size for 10 BAF Prism?
Joe Zorzin wrote:
"mhagen" wrote in message ... This is good content - not theoretical at all. In the PNW, this is how we cruise. Yes, a forester had better know what his findings mean in the "real world" of non-mensurationists, on the other hand, he had better be able to explain his procedures professionally too. If photo cruises can do that for you back east, fine. That's not done often here, except for cursory overviews. Partly that's because of the way we sell timber - we have a lot of cash sales rather than stumpage sales and values had better be nailed down to a few percent. Oh, you're talking about a cruise for a timber sale? I thought the discussion was cruising for mgt. plans. Certainly for a timber sale- you need very good information. Here, only timber beasts cruise for a timber sale, before they rip off the owner. Any reputable forester will mark and tally each and every tree- a 100% tally. However, not even doing a 100% tally, here, will give anyone accuracy to a few percent- since the trees are difficult to accurately measure. Most hardwoods have irregular shapes, forking- defects of all kinds, etc. so it becomes as much art as science. What really counts is consistancy. The wood buyers keep a good record of the results they get from each forester- so if I'm consistantly over by 15% on some species and 5% on another- they know it- and they bid accordingly- which makes everyone happy. Consistancy is the key. I suppose since you work with mostly conifers which are more likely to be straight and round and not forked- if you're carefull you should get much better accuracy- but with any sort of a cruise that's not 100% I doubt anyone can get within a few percent. Conifers are pretty variable too, though the variability lies more in defect and breakage than in tree form, though that can be wild too. There's a world of difference between the difficulty of cruising an old growth cedar stand and a second growth fir stand. Log buyers act the same way here too. They definitely keep score sheets on cruisers and compare notes at auctions. The one's who stay in business are pretty sharp and do not miss a trick. I've gotten involved in discussions after auctions where several cruises on the same sale were compared - ones which arrived at the same volume but lower CV and more sample points - higher costs, vs ones with less points but high CV and some complete misses on sort breakdown, but lower costs. And perhaps only a few sorts are really wanted by that particular buyer, they can turn around and sell the others to someone else. Throw in cruiser windage and you've got a challenge for the buyer. No stress here, eh? |
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