Torsten,

Has a trend devolved yet that would indicate that a peak is nearing if there
are no suppresses such as a genotype that has a lot longer resistance to the
disease and is sitting out there waiting to start to show up. Or is it still
just trending to the low side of estimates.

I realize with such a sparse data set random chance can play hell with the
results.

I have seen a crap shooter make 8 passes in a row. The extremes of
probability do occur.
--
Gordon

Gordon Couger
Stillwater, OK
www.couger.com/gcouger
"Torsten Brinch" wrote in message
...
Updated statistics of vCJD in UK (will soon be)
available at

http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/nov02.htm

until they are, you may wish to use the press release at
http://www.info.doh.gov.uk/doh/intpr...6?OpenDocument

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 117 -- 117 (no change)
Total cases (dead or alive) 128 -- 128 (no change)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 102 - 117 (+15)
Total cases (dead or alive) 111 - 128 (+17)


On Tue, 08 Oct 2002 18:05:55 +0200, Torsten Brinch
wrote:

Updated statistics of vCJD in UK available at

http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/oct02.htm

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 115 -- 117 (+2)
Total cases (dead or alive) 127 -- 128 (+1)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 101 - 117 (+16)
Total cases (dead or alive) 107 - 128 (+21)


On Mon, 02 Sep 2002 21:04:13 +0200, Torsten Brinch
wrote:

Updated statistics of vCJD in UK available at

http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/sep02.htm

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 115 -- 115 (no change)
Total cases (dead or alive) 125 -- 127 (+2)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 101 - 115 (+14)
Total cases (dead or alive) 106 - 127 (+21)



On Mon, 05 Aug 2002 14:33:09 +0200, Torsten Brinch
wrote:

Updated statistics of vCJD in UK available at

http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/aug02.htm

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 115 -- 115 (no change)
Total cases (dead or alive) 124 -- 125 (+1)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 99 - 115 (+16)
Total cases (dead or alive) 106 - 125 (+19)

On Mon, 01 Jul 2002 17:54:27 +0200, Torsten Brinch
wrote:

Updated statistics of vCJD in UK available at

http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/jul02.htm

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 113 -- 115 (+2)
Total cases (dead or alive) 122 -- 124 (+2)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 96 - 115 (+19)
Total cases (dead or alive) 102 - 124 (+22)

..http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/jun02.htm

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 111 -- 113 (+2)
Total cases (dead or alive) 121 -- 122 (+1)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 94 - 113 (+19)
Total cases (dead or alive) 101 - 122 (+21)

..
http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/may02.htm

Changes from previous month to this month
in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 110 -- 111 (+1)
Total cases (dead or alive) 117 -- 121 (+4)

Changes from previous year same month to this month
this year in definite or probable vCJD

Total deaths 93 - 111 (+18)
Total cases (dead or alive) 99 - 121 (+22)